Fastly Inc. (FSLY) reported gain of 0.22% in market trading today. At $126.86 per share, the company is currently around 530.69% up year to date in the stock market. At the time of writing, Fastly Inc. (FSLY) has a market cap of $12.17 billion. The average transaction volume for FSLY over the past month (7657576 shares per day) is trailing its average daily volume over the past year by 25.4, which suggests market participants have been more active in this stock of late.
Fastly Inc. (FSLY) has been in rally mode, as indicated by the relationship between its 200-day and 20-day major moving averages. That said, over the past 30 days, FSLY shares have risen 47.22%. The stock has moved up 408.56 over the trailing 12 months, gaining behind the rest of the market by 2135.01%. It has also trailed competitors and similar names by 16.02%.
Looking at Key Indicators
Naturally, a cursory survey of superficial price points from the chart don’t say a whole lot about where FSLY shares could be headed. That’s why we need to dig a little deeper and check out what some of the most important momentum indicators seem to be saying.
The relationship between changes in price and the underlying strength or weakness over periods can point out deeper factors in the pattern that can often generate insights for technical analysts through momentum factors. Two of our favorite oscillating indicators are the Relative Strength Index (RSI) and the Stochastic %k Oscillator. In each case, the scoring is on a scale somewhere between 0 and 100, and in case, the levels to watch are “70” and “30”, with the former representing an “overbought” state and the latter presenting an “oversold” state.
With that in mind, here is a look at FSLY shares from this perspective. The 20-day RSI reading for FSLY is currently 70.47, which indicates that may be primed for a trend reversal or a corrective pullback in price. If we look at the 20-day Stochastic %k measure, we find it at 92.60, which represents another indication of a overbought outlook.
Listening to the Analysts
Right now, FSLY shares appear to be trading 30.92% under the average price target for one year ahead from Wall Street analysts, which is at $96.90. On average, Street analysts put their recommendation at 2.40, which is scored on a scale from 1 to 5, with 1 representing a “Strong Buy” and 5 representing a “Strong Sell”.
That suggests analysts are neutral on FSLY looking ahead over the coming 12 months.
Assessing the Risk
We would also note that FSLY has posted average daily volatility over the past two weeks of 92.16%, or 5.89% less than it has scored on the same measure over the past hundred days.
The Fundamentals in Focus
As we now turn to the fundamental picture, we begin by analyzing it the way one might analyze a building: by starting with the foundation – the balance sheet. Without a strong foundation, the rest of the structure can’t stand.
For FSLY, cash levels are currently sitting at 327.5 million. That figure is balanced by 38.31 million in current liabilities. But that has to be put in context. The company’s debt levels have been falling. To further round out the picture, total assets are at 607.86 million and total liabilities sit at 65.7 million, granting a pretty thorough ground-up sense of the company and how it might withstand challenges ahead, should they appear.
In terms of recent free cash flow, FSLY, is currently reporting -30.7 million, which represents a quarterly net change of 241.28 million in cash flowing in the door. In terms of operations, the company reported -15.97 million in net operating cash flow.
Looking at the revenue path, we saw last quarter’s top-line number come in at 74.66 million in total revenues, which represents a y/y quarterly change of -61.7, and a sequential quarterly sales grow of 61.70%.
That brings us to the real meat of the matter: the bottom line. Fastly Inc. (FSLY) yielded a gross basic income of 44.97 million, which comes on a Cost-of-Goods-Sold number registering at 29.7 million, seated in 99.83 billion total diluted outstanding shares, adding up to earnings per share of -0.55. Notably, the consensus view of analysts looking ahead to next quarter is currently at 0.
That allows us to round out this picture with a look at valuations. Based on this data, and the forecasts we have at hand, the coming fiscal year looks to be headed toward 0.04 in total earnings per share.
However, estimates are only guesses about the future. Both business and investment trends are more important to take into consideration.