Why Allied Esports Entertainment Inc. (AESE) gained 1.50% in early trading hours

Allied Esports Entertainment Inc. (NASDAQ: AESE) have jumped 1.50% since today opening bell. First, let’s talk about the stock movement. The company report on September 17, 2020 that Esports Entertainment Group Generates 400% Growth in New Registered Users During VIE.gg CS:GO Legend Series Tournament. As its trading volume dropped significantly and passed its daily average at 3.53 million shares. Before peaking at $5.94 per share as its 52 week high, the Communication Services giant hit all-time low of $0.40 per share in 03/12/20. As of now, AESE trading high at $1.34 per share and has seemingly settled at around $1.33 per share, still down from its level of $1.9001 at which it had traded for months.

Allied Esports Entertainment Inc. (AESE) has been in rally mode, as indicated by the relationship between its 200-day and 20-day major moving averages. That said, over the past 30 days, AESE shares have fallen -54.51%. The stock has moved down -72.23 over the trailing 12 months, falling behind the rest of the market by 295.13%.

Looking at Key Indicators

Naturally, a cursory survey of superficial price points from the chart don’t say a whole lot about where AESE shares could be headed. That’s why we need to dig a little deeper and check out what some of the most important momentum indicators seem to be saying.

The relationship between changes in price and the underlying strength or weakness over periods can point out deeper factors in the pattern that can often generate insights for technical analysts through momentum factors. Two of our favorite oscillating indicators are the Relative Strength Index (RSI) and the Stochastic %k Oscillator. In each case, the scoring is on a scale somewhere between 0 and 100, and in case, the levels to watch are “70” and “30”, with the former representing an “overbought” state and the latter presenting an “oversold” state.

With that in mind, here is a look at AESE shares from this perspective. The 20-day RSI reading for AESE is currently 46.56, which indicates that is not particularly expensive or cheap, and not predisposed to a reactive price movement based on this measure. If we look at the 20-day Stochastic %k measure, we find it at 31.18, which represents another indication of a neutral outlook.

Listening to the Analysts

Right now, AESE shares appear to be trading -67.31% under the average price target for one year ahead from Wall Street analysts, which is at $4.13. On average, Street analysts put their recommendation at 1.50, which is scored on a scale from 1 to 5, with 1 representing a “Strong Buy” and 5 representing a “Strong Sell”.

That suggests analysts are bullish on AESE looking ahead over the coming 12 months.

Assessing the Risk

We would also note that AESE has posted average daily volatility over the past two weeks of 77.77%, or 37.69% less than it has scored on the same measure over the past hundred days.

The Fundamentals in Focus

As we now turn to the fundamental picture, we begin by analyzing it the way one might analyze a building: by starting with the foundation – the balance sheet. Without a strong foundation, the rest of the structure can’t stand.

For AESE, cash levels are currently sitting at 14.22 million. That figure is balanced by 17.83 million in current liabilities. To further round out the picture, total assets are at 69.91 million and total liabilities sit at 25.93 million, granting a pretty thorough ground-up sense of the company and how it might withstand challenges ahead, should they appear.

In terms of recent free cash flow, AESE, is currently reporting -3.53 million, which represents a quarterly net change of 2.13 million in cash flowing in the door. In terms of operations, the company reported -3.08 million in net operating cash flow.

Looking at the revenue path, we saw last quarter’s top-line number come in at 4.58 million in total revenues, which represents a y/y quarterly change of 37.56, and a sequential quarterly sales decline of -37.00%.

That brings us to the real meat of the matter: the bottom line. Allied Esports Entertainment Inc. (AESE) yielded a gross basic income of 2.77 million, which comes on a Cost-of-Goods-Sold number registering at 1.81 million, adding up to earnings per share of -1.27. Notably, the consensus view of analysts looking ahead to next quarter is currently at -0.14.

That allows us to round out this picture with a look at valuations. Based on this data, and the forecasts we have at hand, the coming fiscal year looks to be headed toward -0.51 in total earnings per share.

However, estimates are only guesses about the future. Both business and investment trends are more important to take into consideration.

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